Introduction
The reforms of
the 1990s, accelerated the growth of income and poverty reduction, demonstrating
the virtues of a competitive market economy powered by Indian Entrepreneurship.
Consequently India has moved over the
last decade from low income to lower middle income. The stirrings observed in Delhi during the past two years are a precursor of
the emerging middle class and political demands for better governance are
likely to follow. The middle class has historically grown in every country
along with income and has demanded and got better governance in every (now)
developed country. This process has been accelerated in India by the early
establishment of democracy and a flourishing media.
Stirrings
The anti-corruption agitation of 2011 and the
public outpouring of support for it was perhaps the first indication of the emergence of this "new middle class.". The common Delhi resident’s passionate
outrage was less about the specific scam allegations relating to CWG and
Telecom and more about the basic mistreatment of citizens by the government
service providers (water, power, police, MCD).
The new middle class, which has had a taste of freedom and equality in
the market place, was fed up with the arrogance of local government functionaries
and the humiliating treatment meted out by corrupt and self-serving officials, while
their bureaucratic and political bosses hypocritically claimed to be ‘servants
of the people.’ The protests were an
expression of outrage against the inequality between the government as service
provider on one side and the general public on the other side of the counter. Though both events would have been damp
squibs without media attention, underlying these is a cry for attention to
citizen’s personal security and equal treatment to all female and male, political
rulers and the ruled.
Twenty three
year old "Nirbhay" and her parents reportedly migrated to Delhi from a village in
Ballia district in Eastern UP, a region that is often equated with Bihar. She was training to be a physiotherapist,
acquiring a skill that would earn her a decent income. She represented the dream, of numerous
families, including those who protested on the streets: women of all ages,
income classes, castes and professional-work categories, who saw something of themselves
in her. She was the child of the new era
of economic opportunity.
The Middle Class
Definition
From
the many definitions of middle class I would emphasize the two most common
shared elements: A level of income that is above the level needed for
survival (including savings for
emergencies) and a level of education and skills necessary to earn the posited
level of income. The education has to be
at a quality-level to make the individual aware of the world beyond his/hers
immediate day to day environment. This
awareness is essential for making an empathetic connection between one’s own
selfish concerns and the concerns of other similarly placed individuals. Thus the third element is usually a set of shared values that to varying degrees
are common to the ‘middle class.’
However,
'educated' does not necessarily mean intellectual: To be a part of the (lower) middle
class you have to have sufficient education to be aware of issues and elements
that are outside the ambit of the skills needed for your job and to navigate
the space that you inhabit, but not necessarily educated to a level that makes
one capable of participating in debates about these issue or deriving solutions
to social or economic problems. That is
a criterion for classification into the middle class intelligentsia.
Values
Is there a key
“middle class value?’ In my view there are two values that support each
other. One, that as a human being one
has a fundamental right to, “life
liberty and the pursuit of happiness.”
Second is an understanding and appreciation of true equality, that it is
universal and indivisible. That is, if I have this right, then all individuals
must have this right and that the only way I can truly have and preserve this
right is for all others to have the same right.
Practically this translates into a demand for equality of opportunity and equality
of treatment. The competitive market
economy embodies these ideals to a much greater degree than the hierarchical
and segmented Indian society or the self-centered politico-bureaucratic system
that now constitutes the ruling class.
The fast growth unleashed by the 1991 reforms has created demand for
education and skills with which to earn income.
It has also shown the current and potential members of the middle class
that a market economy cares primarily about skills and competence when it is
seeking to get a job done and about the money you want to spend on its products
as a consumer, and much less if at all about your caste, class or family background. Therefore this demand for equal treatment is focused
on the services that government provides, both the public goods and services such
as personal security, that only Government can provide, as well as private
goods and services that it has deliberately chosen to monopolize or control such
as higher education and electricity.
Political Economy of Welfare
Simple welfare
theory teaches that there are three elements of Social Welfare. (1) Private income and consumption, (2)
Public Goods and Services (legal, police, roads, public transport, public
health-sewage, sanitation) (3) The
distribution of income, poverty, inclusion.
Taxes and transfers can be used to change, within limits, the
distribution of income and thus improve social welfare. To the extent there is
a gap between the claims and reality (wastage, corruption) these are rightly
called populist measures. Much of Indian
political discourse since the sixties has focused on this third element. India under Mrs. Indira Gandhi was the first
country in the world to raise “poverty alleviation” to a national objective under
the rubric of “Garibi Hatao.”
The economic
reforms of the 1990s raised public awareness of the role of faster growth in
raising the incomes and Welfare of the people (item (1)), but the balance
shifted back to (3) from 2004. The
dramatic fall in the national growth rate and the threat of junk status coupled
with the recent prominence of the ‘Gujarat
model’ have restored some of the
importance of income growth. The
maintenance of a sufficiently high average per capita growth - between 6% and 7% ( about 8% GDP), which generates income opportunity
for the emerging middle class will soon become de rigor. The rise of the middle class also promises to
bring Public goods and services (item 2) along with governance into the public
discourse within this decade. This will for the first time establish a balance
between the three elements of Social Welfare that should be part of the
political debate.
Conclusion
Though this new middle
class is still relatively small and concentrated in the Urban and semi-urban
areas, it is projected to grow rapidly in the next two decades if our average
per capita GDP grows at its full potential of
7% (~ 8.25% GDP). The
political party that finds the right policy balance between these three
objectives, and convinces both the emerging middle class and the lower income
groups, will be the winners.
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A shorter version of this post appeared as an article in the Indian Express Op ed on Monday 28th January 2013, under the banner, "What the Middle Class Wants," http://www.indianexpress.com/news/what-the-middle-class-wants/1065442/
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A shorter version of this post appeared as an article in the Indian Express Op ed on Monday 28th January 2013, under the banner, "What the Middle Class Wants," http://www.indianexpress.com/news/what-the-middle-class-wants/1065442/
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